Vistra Corp Q1 2026 Earnings: Record Quarterly Profit as Power Demand Climbs
Vistra posted sharply higher Q1 2026 profit on strong power prices and rising data-center demand, and held its full-year outlook steady.
| Q1 2026 | Reported |
|---|---|
| EPS | $2.87 |
| Revenue | $5.00B |
Figures as reported by the company to the SEC for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Analyst estimates are not part of a filing, so no comparison to expectations is shown.
Key takeaways
- Vistra’s net income for the quarter was just over $1 billion, up sharply from a year earlier, helped by strong power-generation revenue and a large unrealized gain on hedging contracts used to lock in future power prices.
- Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) from ongoing operations hit a first-quarter record of roughly $1.49 billion, driven by higher capacity payments in the PJM grid region (mid-Atlantic/Midwest) and solid output across its power-plant fleet.
- Over the trailing twelve months, revenue grew about 15.7% and operating margin (the share of each revenue dollar left after running costs) stood near 19%, indicating the company has been converting a growing top line into profit efficiently.
- Despite the strong quarter, trailing-twelve-month earnings per share were down about 5% versus the prior year period, a reminder that items like hedging gains and losses can swing results from one stretch to the next.
- Return on equity over the trailing year was notably high at roughly 43%, meaning the company has been generating a large amount of profit relative to shareholders’ invested capital.
- Management reaffirmed its full-year 2026 outlook of $6.8-$7.6 billion in adjusted EBITDA and $3.9-$4.7 billion in adjusted free cash flow before growth spending, unchanged from previous guidance.
- That guidance does not yet include the pending roughly $4.7 billion acquisition of the Cogentrix natural-gas power portfolio, expected to close later in 2026, or new long-term electricity-supply agreements signed with Meta at Vistra’s nuclear plants — meaning management views these as potential additions to results rather than items already reflected in the outlook.
- Executives pointed to a second major credit-rating upgrade to investment-grade status and cited rising electricity demand forecasts — about 5-6% annual load growth in Texas and 2-3% in the PJM region through 2030 — tied largely to data centers and AI computing.
Q1 2026 in context
| Metric | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.0B | $4.3B | +17.7% |
| Net income | $1.0B | -$268M | +484.0% |
| Free cash flow | $316M | -$169M | +287.0% |
| Diluted EPS | $2.87 | -$0.93 | +408.6% |
| Operating margin | 30.0% | -2.8% | +32.8 pts |
| Net margin | 20.6% | -6.3% | +26.9 pts |
Figures for the quarter ended Mar 2026 and the quarter ended Mar 2025, as reported to the SEC.
How the stock took it
Vistra Corp closed at $153.95 on May 7, 2026, the last session before the report, and at $152.05 on May 11, 2026, the first session after it — -1.2% across the report.
| Earlier report | Close before | Close after | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | $184.62 | $188.28 | +2.0% |
| Aug 8, 2025 | $205.59 | $200.08 | -2.7% |
Closes from the market's daily record. Each figure spans the report date — from the last session that closed before it to the first that closed after — because a company may report before the open or after the close.
Sources: company report · earnings call